Harrison (WL)
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #48
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #11
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank #2
Harrison (WL) Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 1.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Harrison 9-Way Maverick Stampede Tippecanoe City/County Harrison Raider Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational North Central Conference Harrison (WL) Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/14 8/23 8/27 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 565 728 558 769 686 607 585 610 556 580 569 563
Team Adjusted Rating 548 558 698 639 586 585 610 556 580 569 563
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Harrison 9-Way Maverick Stampede Tippecanoe City/County Harrison Raider Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational North Central Conference Harrison (WL) Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
140  Sawyer DeWitt 10 20:01 20:05 20:22 21:02 20:24 20:05 20:07 20:01 20:24 20:13 20:30 19:50
176  Kaitlyn Manfra 9 20:13 20:53 21:03 20:42 20:26 20:32 20:35 19:45 20:11 20:15 20:02
183  Rubi Rider 10 20:14 21:38 20:16 20:23 21:01 20:36 20:21 20:03 20:01 20:11 20:23 20:35 20:04
725  Emma Obert 11 22:04 21:08 20:54 22:13 23:04 21:59 22:02 21:41 22:29
826  Hannah Beecher 11 22:20 22:19 22:00 22:29 22:16 22:39 22:25 22:21 22:18 22:23 22:23 22:11 22:19
969  Lacie Cooley 9 22:37 22:56 23:22 23:19 23:10 22:47 23:11 22:59 22:52 22:25
984  Zoe Cook 9 22:39 22:46 22:39 23:16 22:51 22:25 22:50 22:42 22:47 22:47 22:46 22:27
1,227  Carla Rodriguez 9 23:13 22:56 23:22 23:25 23:10
1,279  Anna Cahee 10 23:21 23:17 22:35 22:56 23:14 23:22 23:19 23:21 24:06
1,286  Ella Rider 12 23:21 23:34 23:03 24:22 23:30 23:06 23:17 22:59 23:34
Caryss Vanvekoven 9 24:01 24:16 23:36 23:54 24:18 23:59 24:27 23:47
Natalie Casas 12 24:20 23:42 23:36 23:42 23:54 25:16 26:48 24:19
Dana Frohberg 12 24:26 22:01 23:29 24:07 24:20 24:31 25:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 1.1% 21.7 486 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2
Semi-State 100% 10.8 262 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 4.3 8.6 17.8 33.7 27.6 4.6 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.0 65 5.2 92.7 2.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 54 6.2 91.8 2.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sawyer DeWitt 13.2% 93.6 12.2% 12.8%
Kaitlyn Manfra 3.4% 101.4 2.3% 2.7%
Rubi Rider 3.0% 105.3 1.9% 2.3%
Emma Obert 1.1% 193.7 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Beecher 1.1% 198.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lacie Cooley 1.1% 201.9 0.0% 0.0%
Zoe Cook 1.1% 202.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sawyer DeWitt 100% 26.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.8 4.2 3.9 4.4 4.2 100.0%
Kaitlyn Manfra 100% 34.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.5 100.0%
Rubi Rider 100% 36.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 100.0%
Emma Obert 100% 120.7 89.3%
Hannah Beecher 100% 132.1 63.0%
Lacie Cooley 100% 144.3 28.8%
Zoe Cook 100% 145.9 24.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sawyer DeWitt 100% 4.3 4.0 9.9 15.4 15.8 19.8 18.0 10.5 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Kaitlyn Manfra 100% 6.2 0.5 2.2 4.5 7.9 12.5 18.7 23.3 20.3 7.5 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Rubi Rider 100% 6.4 0.5 1.5 3.9 6.4 11.3 16.8 23.0 24.1 9.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emma Obert 100% 24.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.9 4.2 6.2 8.1 9.3 11.7 11.1 100.0%
Hannah Beecher 100% 28.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 2.2 3.0 4.3 7.2 100.0%
Lacie Cooley 100% 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 99.9%
Zoe Cook 100% 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 99.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sawyer DeWitt 2.5 21.0 17.9 23.0 19.3 11.2 5.7 1.5 0.3 0.0
Kaitlyn Manfra 4.2 4.1 8.1 13.1 19.4 23.4 21.1 8.3 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Rubi Rider 4.4 3.4 6.7 11.7 17.4 24.1 23.8 9.4 2.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Emma Obert 19.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.0 3.7 5.4 9.0 12.5 15.0 15.5 11.2 8.2 5.5 3.5 2.4
Hannah Beecher 22.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.3 6.0 9.3 11.5 12.0 11.5 9.4 8.1
Lacie Cooley 26.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.5 4.8 6.2 7.3 8.1
Zoe Cook 27.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.5 3.5 5.4 6.0 7.3